February 6, 2008

Paul is done.

Sadly, Ron Paul's showing last night confirmed what most of us were thinking over the preceding weeks: His campaign was an internet phenomenon, nothing more. He was able to transform his mass of internet support into some real numbers, primarily dollar-type numbers, but he is in the wrong party. I'm sad to say it, but I think that it is about time that our Ron Paul yard sign comes down.

In other News, Barack and Hillary are still neck and neck. I admit that I was hoping for a landslide in Barack's favor, (and that is what we got in MN, at least) but I am happy that he still has a good chance to get the nomination.

Suffice to say that the real political adrenaline rush is over for a few weeks, we can all relax and spend some time worrying about the real problems, like Britney's new sex tape.


Comments:

You talk like the GOP national convention is done and the nomination has been set. There are still 20 states yet to have their primaries and a lot can happen between now and August at the National Convention.
 

While it is true that anything can happen, Paul's chances have pretty much sunk to zero. He had a good showing in Montana, but he has essentially no chance of miraculously sweeping all the rest of the states in order to make up the 500-or-so delegate gap between him and McCain. Even Romney is facing an uphill battle to try and make up the 200 delegate gap that McCain has on him.

No, Dr. Paul made a great attempt over the past few months, but if he was hoping to build any momentum at all, it would have had to start yesterday, and that just didn't happen.

I'd love to be proven wrong, but from this point on I'm placing my emphasis on Obama.
 

The only person that has a chance of Beating McCain at this point in time is Mitt. To do that he would have to win all of the remaining states delegates that are up for grabs.

Ron Paul would have to travel back in time, tell people he can travel back in time. Then get them to vote for him on the principle that he would share his time traveling knowledge with the Nation upon him winning the nomination.

Maybe next time around Dr. Paul will have a better chance.
 

I feel like I need to clear up something, McCain needs 1191 delegates in order to walk into the GOP national convention in August with a guaranteed endorsement. Currently he has 700 some which is a good chunk of change but not quite enough. With Mitt Romney dropping out that leaves over 200 delegates up for grabs and it is up to those state GOP rules to determine who gets them. But if McCain doesn't walk into the GOP national convention with 1191 delegates under his belt then it is anyones ball game.

Like I said before, it's a long way from now until the national convention and seeing Romney drop out is proof of that.

What makes me the saddest about all this is that Dr. Paul is in his 70s so I can't imagine him making another run for office in eight years.

-Josh
 

True, a contested nomination would give Paul a chance, but even that would be an extremely slim one.

Romney dropping out likely means that Huckabee is now vying for the veep slot (he hasn't flung one clod of dirt at McCain since he took the lead). Paul has essentially been left out, since almost everyone now sees the race as essentially over.

If the miraculous happens, and Paul completely turns his campaign around, wins even half of the remaining delegates, walks into the convention with 500 or so to McCain's 900, the party leaders will most likely still endorse McCain.
 

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